NCDEX Mustard Seed may trade between 4185-4247 levels

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Technically NCDEX Mustard Seed is getting support at 4201 and below same could see a test of 4185 level, And resistance is now likely to be seen at 4232, a move above could see prices testing 4247.

Mustard Seed on NCDEX settled up by 0.19% at 4217 on expectation of improved export demand for meal. Traders are awaiting fresh export deals from after Indian officials held talks in requesting their counterparts to permit import of rapeseed meal from .

Meantime, NAFED sold nearly 67,600 tons of mustard seeds in various producing centres until September 28 and still carrying a stock of around 825,000 tons. The area under the mustard crop across the country may decline 10% on year in 2018-19 (Jul-Jun) owing to patchy rainfall in major growing regions.

Weak monsoon rain in some parts of Rajasthan (the largest producer) is inadequate to support the proper vegetative growth of mustard crop. Farmers may not go for higher area this year. Even area under the crop would fall by around 10% from last year.

So far this monsoon season, rains in Rajasthan have been 6% below normal, according to India Meteorological Department.  Uttar Pradesh, Madhya Pradesh, and Gujarat, the other top growers, also received scanty showers this season.

As such, the moisture content in the soil in these regions may be poor, and this might lead to heat stress in rabi season when mustard is widely cultivated.

In 2017-18 (Jul-Jun), mustard production in the country was at 8.32 mln tn, up 5.1% on year, according to the farm ministry’s fourth advance estimate.In Alwar spot market in Rajasthan the prices dropped 12.9 Rupees to end at 4282.5 Rupees per 100 kg.

Trading Ideas:
–Mustard Seed trading range for the day is 4185-4247.
–Mustard Seed prices ended with gains on expectation of improved export demand for meal.
–Meantime, NAFED sold nearly 67,600 tons of mustard seeds in various producing centres and still carrying a stock of around 825,000 tons.
–NCDEX accredited warehouses mustard seed stocks gained by 30 tonnes to 20376 tonnes.
–In Alwar spot market in Rajasthan the prices dropped 12.9 Rupees to end at 4282.5 Rupees per 100 kg.

Courtesy: Kedia Commodities

Source: Commodityonline.com