NCDEX Ref. Soya Oil likely to move in a range of 732-740

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Technically NCDEX Ref. Soya Oil is getting support at 735 and below same could see a test of 732 level, And resistance is now likely to be seen at 739, a move above could see prices testing 740.

Ref. Soya Oil on NCDEX settled up by 0.48% at 736.85 tracking firmness in spot demand amid reports of good seasonal demand in physical markets and lack of selling. However, upside seen limited due to higher stocks at port, expectation of higher imports due to low tariff value and stronger rupees.

In a fortnightly notification, Government cut tariff value of crude soy oil by 18 dollar to $711 per tn for the first half of . According to monthly report released by SEA, soy oil import jumped by 64.7% to 2.20 lt in February compared to 1.34 lt last year same month.

Overall, imports are lower by 2.31% for the period of Nov-Feb at 6.95 lt. USDA FAS in its latest GAIN report forecast soyoil production at 17.22 lt in 2018/19, up by 14.2% forecast by official USDA while Soyoil imports are pegged at 36 lt Vs 34 lt and consumption pegged slightly higher this year at 50 lt Vs 49.5 lt.

USDA FAS in its latest GAIN report forecast India soyoil production at 17.22 lakh tonnes in 2018/19, up by 14.2% forecast by official USDA while Soyoil imports are pegged at 36 lt Vs 34 lt by USDA.

According to National Oilseed Processors Association (NOPA), members are expected to crush 3.3 % higher Soybean to 158.73 million bushel in February 2019 compared to last year record in the same month on account of profitable U.S. soy crush margins and ample supplies of beans. At the Indore spot market in Madhya Pradesh, soyoil was steady at 743.6 Rupees per 10 kgs.

Trading Ideas:
–Ref. Soya range for the day is 732-740.
–Ref. Soya gained tracking firmness in spot demand amid reports of good seasonal demand in physical markets and lack of selling.
–However, upside seen limited due to higher stocks at port, expectation of higher imports due to low tariff value and stronger rupees.
–In a fortnightly notification, Government cut tariff value of crude soy oil by 18 dollar to $711 per tn for the first half of April.
–At the Indore spot market in Madhya Pradesh, soyoil was steady at 743.6 Rupees per 10 kgs.

Courtesy: Kedia Commodities          

Source: Commodityonline.com