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[Geofin Comtrade] Daily report on Natural Rubber: May 9, 2016

MARKET COMMENTARY

Sentiments stay feeble in the major overseas natural rubber market. TOCOM and SHFE rubber futures extended losses on Monday with the latter slumping over three per cent as worries over China economy grew following weak trade data from the country. TOCOM rubber futures reversed initial gains to inch down though firmer crude oil prices and weak yen lend support.

Natural rubber in the local market traded rather firm towards the close of the week. After the steep slide from its multi-months high, RSS4 grade took a breather on improved buying.

MARKET NEWS

China’s rubber imports (both natural and synthetic) in April amounted to 500000 tonnes, down 7.4 percent from a month earlier.

An Action Taken Report (ATR) of the Parliamentary Standing Committee on commerce chaired by Chandan Mitra has criticised the Centre for its indifferent attitude towards natural rubber (NR). The report says that the government has been indifferent to the woes of rubber farmers and permitted excess imports, delayed the national policy on rubber and kept key posts in the state-run Rubber Board vacant for more than two years.

According to a deputy chairman of the Rubber Holder Co-operatives Federation of Thailand,the production of natural rubber has fallen about 50% from January to April year-on-year due to the drought.

Vietnam’s natural rubber exports could drop 12 percent from a year ago to around 1 million tonnes in 2016, as part of the country’s commitment to cut supply and help stabilise prices, Vietnam Customs said.

India’s natural rubber production fell to its lowest level in about two decades in 2015-16 to 563000 tonnes, a 13 per cent fall from the previous year’s production of 645000 tonnes. Consumption declined as well, by three per cent on YoY basis to 987540 tonnes.

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Geofin Comtrade

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