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Wednesday, August 17, 2022

MCX Cotton under fresh selling; Resistance seen at 22430

MCX Cardamom under fresh buying; Support seen 1415.2

NCDEX Jeera likely to move in a range of 20740-21780

NCDEX Turmeric under fresh buying; Resistance seen at 6748

NCDEX Mustard Seed may trade between 4133-4191 levels

Crude Oil market under short covering; Support seen at 4572

Technically Cotton market is under fresh selling as market has witnessed gain in open interest by 0.03% to settled at 3840 while prices down 30 rupees.

Now MCX Cotton is getting support at 22240 and below same could see a test of 22150 level, And resistance is now likely to be seen at 22430, a move above could see prices testing 22530.

Cotton on MCX settled down by 0.13% at 22340 on improving physical arrivals in Gujarat and Maharashtra. FAS Mumbai estimates MY 2018/19 production at 28.5 million 480-lb bales(36.5 million 170-kilogram bales/6.2 MMT), which is 200,000 480-lb bales lower than the official USDA estimate.

Dry weather in Gujarat state’s Saurashtra and Kutch regions and Maharashtra state’s central and eastern regions will likely affect yields. However, Indian Cotton Federation (ICF) said that the availability of cotton in the country would be comfortable in 2018/19 season. Indian Cotton Federation (ICF) said that the availability of cotton in the country would be comfortable in 2018/19 season.

This season there are reports of delay in peak arrivals from Gujarat and Rajasthan due to dry weather and below-normal rains in most producing states, yields are expected to get affected. According to CAI, cotton production in 2018/19 is likely to fall 4.7% from the previous season to 34.8 million bales due to scanty rainfall and an attack of pink bollworms.

As per CAI, India’s forward export contracts of cotton have more than doubled from about 7 lakh bales in September 2017, driven by increased demand from China. As per government’s sowing report, cotton has been sown in 122.38 lakh ha, lower than 124.29 lakh ha sown last year till date but higher than normal kharif area of 119.75 lakh ha on date. Scanty rainfall in Gujarat & an attack of pink bollworms.

Trading Ideas:
–Cotton trading range for the day is 22150-22530.
–Cotton dropped on improving physical arrivals in Gujarat and Maharashtra.
–However, Indian Cotton Federation (ICF) said that the availability of cotton in the country would be comfortable in 2018/19 season.
–As per government’s sowing report, cotton has been sown in 122.38 lakh ha, lower than 124.29 lakh ha sown last year till date.
–Cotton prices in spot market gained by 90.00 rupees and settled at 22520.00 rupees. 

Courtesy: Kedia Commodities

Source: Commodityonline.com

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