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Friday, September 30, 2022

Industrial metals fall as dollar rises and growth slows

LONDON: Industrial metals prices fell on Thursday as markets braced for rapid interest rate rises that will slow economic growth and reduce demand for metals.

Oil prices also fell and the dollar rose to a 20-year high as investors bet that the highest U.S. inflation since 1981 will trigger a supersized 1% U.S. interest rate hike this month.

Many analysts now expect recessions in the United States and elsewhere. A strong dollar makes metals, which are priced in the U.S. currency, costlier for buyers holding other currencies and so can reduce demand.

Benchmark copper on the London Metal Exchange (LME) was down 0.9% at $7,261 a tonne at 1021 GMT after reaching a 20-month low of $7,160 on Wednesday.

Prices of the metal used in the power and construction industries have fallen 33% from a high in March.

“We still haven’t found the bottom yet. At least in the short term, I would expect still lower prices,” said Commerzbank analyst Daniel Briesemann.

Hedge funds up the bear ante on Doctor Copper and friends

Growth is slowing globally. The European Commission cut its forecasts for the euro zone this year and next. At least five central banks have tightened policy in the last two days.

Metals demand in China, the biggest consumer, has been weakened by a zero-COVID policy, which the government shows no sign of abandoning.

However, exchange inventories are low, pointing to weak supply that should support prices.

In the zinc market, just 22,400 tonnes are available on-warrant in LME-registered warehouses, down from around 225,000 tonnes a year ago and near the lowest on record.

That has pushed premium for quickly delivered cash zinc over the three-month contract to around $100 a tonne.

Benchmark LME zinc was down 1.3% at $2,914 a tonne. Prices are down 40% from a March high and on Wednesday hit their lowest since June 2021.

LME aluminium was flat at $2,355.50 a tonne, nickel fell 3.7% to $20,370, lead slipped 2.7% to $1,901 and tin was 2.2% lower at $24,800.

Industrial metals fall as dollar rises and growth slows

Source: Brecorder

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