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Tuesday, January 31, 2023

Copper slides as focus shifts to poor demand prospects

LONDON: Copper prices slipped on Thursday as surging COVID infections in top consumer China and worries about a global recession fuelled fears of slowing demand for industrial metals.

Benchmark copper on the London Metal Exchange (LME) was down 0.6% at $8,389 a tonne at 1018 GMT. Prices of the metal used widely in the power and construction industries touched a two-week high of $8,520 on Wednesday.

“We will be entering 2023 with markets trying to gauge the demand impact from slowing global growth. It is clear that a number of key economies will enter recession, the big question is how severe,” said ING’s head of commodities Warren Patterson.

“When you couple these concerns with the ongoing weakness in China it is likely that demand will continue to dictate price direction through the early part of 2023.”

China’s lifting of restrictions, following widespread protests against them, means COVID is spreading largely unchecked and likely infecting millions of people a day, according to some international health experts.

Clues to demand prospects for copper and other industrial metals will come from surveys of purchasing managers in China’s manufacturing sector, released over the next few days.

Shanghai copper climbs on weak dollar

Technically, copper faces upside resistance around $8,510 where the 200-day moving average sits currently, while support is provided by the 21-day moving average at $8,380.

Elsewhere, lead prices rose 1.9% to $2,260 a tonne after hitting $2,302.5 on Wednesday, the highest since May 5.

Worries about supplies and historically low stocks have pushed prices of the battery metal up nearly 30% since Sept. 29.

Cancelled warrants at 44% of total lead stocks at 25,150 tonnes and large holdings of warrants and cash contracts suggest stocks will fall further over coming days.

Tight lead supplies on the LME market can also be seen in the hefty premium for the cash over the three-month contract.

In other metals, aluminium was flat at $2,381 a tonne, zinc fell 0.2% t $2,999, tin slipped 0.1% to $24,700 and nickel ceded 2.4% to $29,700.

Copper slides as focus shifts to poor demand prospects

Source: Brecorder

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