[Geojit Comtrade] Daily report on Natural Rubber: November 30, 2012

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[Geojit Comtrade] Daily report on Natural Rubber: November 30, 2012MARKET COMMENTARY

  • Extending losses, natural in the local market declined for the third consecutive day on Thursday and are probably poised to conclude this week’s session in red after posting gains the previous week. in the slipped towards its weakest in about two weeks while NMCE futures dropped more than two per cent, erasing mostly the gains acquired in the previous week. Currently, the market fundamentals are mixed, yet prices are likely to remain under pressure.
  • SHFE continued to decline while AFET and TOCOM are seen extending the previous session gains as the week’s session culminates. Upbeat indicators from US and Japan provided firm support. Also, disruption in in the top producer Thailand owing to rains too supported the prices. Yet, burgeoning stockpiles with China, the top consumer, weighed on, capping gains.

TECHNICAL VIEW

  • According to ANRPC, China’s Jan.-Nov. consumption rose 6.7% to 3.51million tonne and its natural rubber consumption this year is anticipated to be 3.83 million tonne from 3.77million tonne.
  • Rubber stocks held by Thai Govt stand at 170000 tonnes and are expected to rise to 410000 tonnes by March-end.
  • According to Vietnam’s General Statistics Office, November rubber exports may drop 25% on YoY basis to 95,000 tonnes
  • Rubber Board aims to expand total area under natural rubber cultivation to 4.0 lakh hectares by 2017.
  • Crude rubber stockpiles held at Japanese warehouses rose 15.5 percent to 6,739 metric tons on Nov. 10, according to data from the Rubber Trade Association of Japan.
  • Traders in China are increasing imports of the natural variety from Thailand as expectations of stockpiling by the Chinese government push up domestic prices.
  • Rubber inventories in the warehouses monitored by SHFE jumped 35.5 per cent to 90325 tonnes the previous week to hit two and a half year high.

TECHNICAL VIEW

 RUBBER Dec NMCE

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The slippage past 17400 has induced further weakness, yet prices were held near the earlier low of 16971. Now, prices require clearing the congestion region of 16950-16800 to continue its downtrend. Else, a bounce back to 17200 initially followed by 17340/17450 or more may be seen. RUBBER Dec NMCE The slippage past 17400 has induced further weakness, yet prices were held near the earlier low of 16971. Now, prices require clearing the congestion region of 16950-16800 to continue its downtrend. Else, a bounce back to 17200 initially followed by 17340/17450 or more may be seen.

Source: Geojit Comtrade

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