Thursday, 16 July 2015 20:22
NEW YORK: The dollar index rallied to a seven-week peak on Thursday, with an easing in jobless claims reinforcing market expectations of a 2015 US interest rate hike.
A day after Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen signalled that the first rise in US rates in nearly a decade was likely this year, the US Labor Department reported an unexpected dip in new applications for unemployment payments.
The data for the week to July 11 showed a decline of 15,000 applications to 281,000 and pointed to a solid labor market, a key metric for Yellen and other policymakers considering a rate hike possibly as soon as September.
The US dollar index, composed of the euro and five other currencies traded against the greenback, touched a high last seen May 27 and was last up 0.33 percent.
The euro, which had inched up briefly after Greek legislators signed off on tough bailout terms, was last down 0.40 percent against the dollar at $ 1.0904 as doubts grew about whether the deal with creditors will work.
The euro zone common currency had dipped under $ 1.09 and struck a low of $ 1.0857 last seen in late May.
The dollar was ahead 0.15 percent against the yen at 123.93 yen and down 0.2 percent against sterling, which has rallied in recent days in part because UK officials have been hinting at raising interest rates.
Currency investors, who are less worried about Greece exiting the euro zone and about China’s stock market, are increasingly focused on economic fundamentals and interest rate outlooks, according to analysts.
“Now that Greece is ‘somewhat’ resolved, the argument has shifted back to monetary policy divergence between the euro zone, UK and US,” said Tobias Davis, corporate hedging manager with Western Union in London.
He pointed to rises in the cost of dollar two-month forward swaps for euros as evidence of firming expectations that US rates are heading higher.
Weak New Zealand inflation numbers added to pressure from a closely watched auction that showed global dairy prices tumbled to a 12-1/2-year low, pushing the New Zealand dollar as low as $ 0.6498, its lowest since 2009.
