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On Friday, the U.S. nonfarm payroll report for September showcased an unexpected increase of 336,000 jobs, leading to increased speculation about a potential Federal Reserve rate hike in November. Traders responded by raising the estimated probability of a 25-basis-point rate hike to 28.6%, which triggered a significant sell-off in Treasurys. This resulted in the 2-year rate surpassing 5%, and its longer-term counterparts reaching more than 16-year highs.
Despite the growing anticipation of a hike, Goldman Sachs maintains that the central bank has concluded its rate-hike campaign. The upcoming consumer price index is predicted to be a pivotal factor in any decision making. A further quarter-point rate hike would elevate the Fed’s primary interest-rate target to between 5.5% and 5.75%.
Following the aggressive sell-off in Treasurys, all three major U.S. indexes experienced an uptick. The market now eagerly awaits further indicators that could shed light on the Fed’s future monetary policy direction.
This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.
Source: Investing.com
