XAU/USD
-1.30%
Add to/Remove from Watchlist
Add to Watchlist
Add Position
Position added successfully to:
Please name your holdings portfolio
Type:
BUY
SELL
Date:
Amount:
Price
Point Value:
Leverage:
1:1
1:10
1:25
1:50
1:100
1:200
1:400
1:500
1:1000
Commission:
Create New Watchlist
Create
Create a new holdings portfolio
Add
Create
+ Add another position
Close
XAG/USD
-1.43%
Add to/Remove from Watchlist
Add to Watchlist
Add Position
Position added successfully to:
Please name your holdings portfolio
Type:
BUY
SELL
Date:
Amount:
Price
Point Value:
Leverage:
1:1
1:10
1:25
1:50
1:100
1:200
1:400
1:500
1:1000
Commission:
Create New Watchlist
Create
Create a new holdings portfolio
Add
Create
+ Add another position
Close
Gold
-1.32%
Add to/Remove from Watchlist
Add to Watchlist
Add Position
Position added successfully to:
Please name your holdings portfolio
Type:
BUY
SELL
Date:
Amount:
Price
Point Value:
Leverage:
1:1
1:10
1:25
1:50
1:100
1:200
1:400
1:500
1:1000
Commission:
Create New Watchlist
Create
Create a new holdings portfolio
Add
Create
+ Add another position
Close
Silver
-1.59%
Add to/Remove from Watchlist
Add to Watchlist
Add Position
Position added successfully to:
Please name your holdings portfolio
Type:
BUY
SELL
Date:
Amount:
Price
Point Value:
Leverage:
1:1
1:10
1:25
1:50
1:100
1:200
1:400
1:500
1:1000
Commission:
Create New Watchlist
Create
Create a new holdings portfolio
Add
Create
+ Add another position
Close
Today’s spotlight is on the crucial US CPI report, with estimates suggesting potential declines in both the monthly and annual core CPI.
Market expectations project a decrease in the annual Core CPI from 3.9% to 3.7%, while the overall CPI data is anticipated to remain unchanged at 3.1%.
The shelter component’s downward trend holds key implications for easing inflation going ahead and will provide hints about potential rate cuts.
In 2024, invest like the big funds from the comfort of your home with our AI-powered ProPicks stock selection tool. Learn more here>>
Today marks the release of the week’s most crucial data, the US CPI report.
According to Investing.com’s economic calendar, estimates indicate that the core CPI component might experience both monthly and annual declines.
At the same time, the overall CPI data is expected to remain unchanged.
US CPI Data
Market expectations for the data:
Annual Core CPI: Expected to decrease from 3.9% to 3.7%
Annual CPI: Expected to remain unchanged at 3.1%
Monthly Core CPI: Anticipated to decrease slightly from 0.4% to 0.3%
Monthly CPI: Expected to increase slightly from 0.3% to 0.4%
If the data falls, the following asset classes may see potential revaluations based on recent analysis:
Small Cap
Bonds
Precious Metals (Gold/Silver Futures)
It won’t be surprising if treasury yields drop in case of lower-than-expected CPI (and vice versa).
The housing component, specifically Shelter, remains uncertain. It’s a lagging element and as illustrated below, it has been on a downward trend for some time:
Fonte: Charlie Bilello
Conclusion
The Shelter component holds a significant 33% weight in the overall Consumer Price Index (CPI). Therefore, the downward trend must persist if we want to observe a consistent decrease in inflation.
If the data turns out to be lower than expected, there could be a positive impact. The Federal Reserve might reconsider its initial plan for an interest rate cut. This, in turn, could lead to market rallies.
***
Don’t miss out on the InvestingPro+ discount for the annual plan. Explore exclusive tools to identify undervalued and overvalued stocks:
ProPicks: Stock portfolios managed by a combination of artificial intelligence and human expertise.
ProTips: Streamlined information and data.
Fair Value and Financial Health: Two indicators offering instant insights into each stock’s potential and risk.
Stock Screeners and Historical Financial Data: Comprehensive services covering thousands of stocks.
Click here to subscribe today!
Subscribe Today!
Disclaimer: This article is written for informational purposes only; it does not constitute a solicitation, offer, advice, or recommendation to invest as such it is not intended to incentivize the purchase of assets in any way. I would like to remind you that any type of asset, is evaluated from multiple points of view and is highly risky and therefore, any investment decision and the associated risk remains with the investor.
Source: Investing.com
