Investing.com – Natural gas futures started the week in positive territory on Monday, hitting a more than four-week high, as lingering winter-like weather was seen delaying the official start of the storage injection season.
Front-month rallied 3.4 cents, or around 1.2%, to $2.769 per million British thermal units (btu) by 9:25AM ET (1325GMT). It touched its highest level since March 14 at $2.777.
The commodity gained about 1.2% last week, after a government storage report showed a withdrawal for the first week of the injection season thanks to lingering April cold.
Despite recent gains, market experts warned that futures are likely to remain vulnerable in the near-term as below-normal temperatures in April mean less than they do in January and February.
Spring usually sees the weakest demand for natural gas in the U.S, as the absence of extreme temperatures curbs demand for heating and air conditioning.
Meanwhile, market participants looked ahead to this week’s storage data due on Thursday, which is expected to show another draw in a range between 16 and 27 billion cubic feet (bcf) for the week ended April 13.
That compares with a decline of 19 bcf in the preceding week, an increase of 54 bcf a year earlier and a five-year average rise of 38 bcf.
Total natural gas in storage currently stands at 1.335 trillion cubic feet (tcf), according to the U.S. Energy Information Administration.
That figure is 725 bcf, or around 35.2%, lower than levels at this time a year ago, and 375 bcf, or roughly 21.9%, below the five-year average for this time of year.
Record high domestic production levels have overshadowed the fact that stocks in storage are well below their seasonal averages for this time of year.
Production in the lower 48 states averaged a record high 78.7 bcfd over the past 30 days.
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Source: Investing.com