NCDEX Jeera may trade between 18530-19710 levels
NCDEX Turmeric under long liquidation
NCDEX Mustard Seed under fresh selling; Support Seen at 4196
Short covering seen in MCX Crude Palm Oil
Ref. Soya Oil market under short covering; Support seen at 736
Technically Cardamom market is under short covering as market has witnessed drop in open interest by 2.1% to settled at 233 while prices up 13.8 rupees.
Now MCX Cardamom is getting support at 1413.7 and below same could see a test of 1397.8 level, And resistance is now likely to be seen at 1451.9, a move above could see prices testing 1474.2.
Cardamom on MCX settled up by 0.97% at 1429.7 because of heavy loses to crop due to recent floods and good export hopes after the steep fall in rupee. Though there is a concern about demand from UAE due to strict pesticide rule, demand from other countries is likely to be robust because of fall in rupee.
Export of cardamom from the country during 2017-18 spurted 48% to 5,680 ton from 3,850 ton a year ago. Volume wise exports recorded a growth of 45% at Rs 6.09 billion though average per unit prices were down, data from Spices Board showed.
Arrivals of the new crop of cardamom have started at the auction centres in Bodinayakanur in Tamil Nadu and Vandanmedu in Kerala. Around 25 tn of new arrivals are coming at auctions daily, which is 25-30% of the total arrivals.
Heavy showers for a prolonged period have led to fungal diseases in plantations. As of Monday, plantations spread over 1,337.60 ha in Kerala’s Idukki district had been damaged, according to the state’s farm department. Despite record higher exports in 2017-18, exports figure in 2018-19 may not touch that volume as there are issues regarding pesticide to the stocks exported to Saudi Arabia.
Trading Ideas:
–Cardamom trading range for the day is 1397.8-1474.2.
–Cardamom prices gained because of heavy loses to crop due to recent floods and good export hopes after the steep fall in rupee.
–Despite last year’s record exports, exports in the current year are likely to be affected due to strict measures by Saudi Arabia due to pesticide issue.
–Around 25 tn of new arrivals are coming at auctions daily, which is 25-30% of the total arrivals.
–Cardamom prices in spot market gained by 17.40 rupees and settled at 1371.40 rupees.
Courtesy: Kedia Commodities
Source: Commodityonline.com
