MCX Crude Oil expected to trade in a range between 5152-5304
MCX Silver likely to trade in a range between 37558-38450
MCX Nickel likely to move in a range of 907.9-952.9
MCX Aluminium may trade between 146.2-151.4 levels
MCX Menthol Oil likely to move in a range of 1603.7-1679.5
Technically Cardamom market is under long liquidation as market has witnessed drop in open interest by 3.93% to settled at 220 while prices down 7.5 rupees.
Now MCX Cardamom is getting support at 1413.2 and below same could see a test of 1410.6 level, And resistance is now likely to be seen at 1419.2, a move above could see prices testing 1422.6.
Cardamom on MCX settled down by 0.53% at 1415.7 on profit booking after prices gained because of heavy loses to crop due to recent floods and good export hopes after the steep fall in rupee.
Though there is a concern about demand from UAE due to strict pesticide rule, demand from other countries is likely to be robust because of fall in rupee. Export of cardamom from the country during 2017-18 spurted 48% to 5,680 ton from 3,850 ton a year ago.
Volume wise exports recorded a growth of 45% at Rs 6.09 billion though average per unit prices were down, data from Spices Board showed. Arrivals of the new crop of cardamom have started at the auction centres in Bodinayakanur in Tamil Nadu and Vandanmedu in Kerala.
Around 25 tn of new arrivals are coming at auctions daily, which is 25-30% of the total arrivals. Heavy showers for a prolonged period have led to fungal diseases in plantations.
As of Monday, plantations spread over 1,337.60 ha in Kerala’s Idukki district had been damaged, according to the state’s farm department. Despite record higher exports in 2017-18, exports figure in 2018-19 may not touch that volume as there are issues regarding pesticide to the stocks exported to Saudi Arabia.
Trading Ideas:
–Cardamom trading range for the day is 1410.6-1422.6.
-Cardamom settled down on profit booking after prices gained because of heavy loses to crop due to recent floods and good export hopes.
–Despite last year’s record exports, exports in the current year are likely to be affected due to strict measures by Saudi Arabia due to pesticide issue.
–Around 25 tn of new arrivals are coming at auctions daily, which is 25-30% of the total arrivals.
–Cardamom prices in spot market gained by 4.60 rupees and settled at 1359.10 rupees.
Courtesy: Kedia Commodities
Source: Commodityonline.com
