MCX Nickel likely to move in a range of 847.8-872.6
MCX Aluminium may trade between 142.7-146.9 levels
MCX Cotton likely to move in a range of 22400-23360
MCX Cardamom under long liquidation
NCDEX Jeera may trade between 19220-20220 levels
Technically Menthol Oil market is under fresh buying as market has witnessed gain in open interest by 1.63% to settled at 1375 while prices up 0.3 rupees.
Now MCX Mentha Oil is getting support at 1785.6 and below same could see a test of 1772.3 level, And resistance is now likely to be seen at 1817.6, a move above could see prices testing 1836.3.
Mentha Oil on MCX settled up by 0.02% at 1798.9 due to bullish demand outlook from domestic market as well as exporters. Spot markets are also witnessing strong consumption demand amid restricted supplies.
Bumper crop harvest has been discounted in the market and market is moving upwards on rising demand from end users. Arrivals in Sambhal stood at 400 drums compared to 350 drum a day ago while in Barabanki supplies rose to 500 drums from 450 drums a day earlier.
According to preliminary estimates, mentha oil production in 2018-19 would be 40,000-45,000 ton against last year’s production of 35,000 tons. There could be chances of crop damage to certain extend due to unfavourable weather condition.
Besides, farmers are likely to hold back the stocks as the present prices are not remunerative for them. However, in recent years, the growth in production and consumption of synthetic mentha has influenced the demand for natural mentha.
As per sources, India contributes around 80% to the total global mentha oil production. Total global production stood at around 48,000 tonnes, out of which India produces between 30,000-40,000 tonnes.
According to estimates, mentha oil production in India for crop year 2016-17 will be around 38,000 tonnes.Mentha oil spot at Sambhal closed at 1944.40 per 1kg. Spot prices was up by Rs.24.20/-.
Trading Ideas:
–Mentha Oil trading range for the day is 1772.3-1836.3.
–Mentha Oil spot at Sambhal closed at 1944.40 per 1kg. Spot prices was up by Rs.24.20/-.
–Mentha Oil prices rallied due to bullish demand outlook from domestic market as well as exporters.
–Spot markets are also witnessing strong consumption demand amid restricted supplies.
–Bumper crop harvest has been discounted in the market and market is moving upwards on rising demand from end users.
Courtesy: Kedia Commodities
Source: Commodityonline.com