Oil prices drop as broad market sell-off outweighs supply concerns

By Henning Gloystein

SINGAPORE (Reuters) – Oil markets lost steam on Tuesday as a deteriorating economic outlook and a surge in U.S. production outweighed expected supply cuts by the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC).

futures, the international benchmark for oil prices, were at $66.43 a barrel at 0608 GMT, down 36 cents, or 0.5 percent, from their last close.

U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures were at $56.97 per barrel, 23 cents, or 0.4 percent, below their last settlement.

The dips followed price increases earlier in the session.

“Upside potential has shown to be shaky as bullish movements lose steam,” said Benjamin Lu of Singapore-based brokerage Phillip Futures.

Oil prices are almost a quarter below their recent peaks in early October, weighed down by surging supply, especially from the United States.

oil production has soared by almost 25 percent this year, to a record 11.7 million barrels per day (bpd).

That comes amid widespread market expectations of an economic slowdown, which saw Asian stock markets tumble on Tuesday, adding to sharp losses on Wall Street the previous day.

As a result, financial traders have become wary of oil markets, seeing further price downside risks from the growth in U.S. shale production as well as the deteriorating economic outlook.

Portfolio managers have sold the equivalent of 553 million barrels of crude and fuels in the last seven weeks, the largest reduction over a comparable period since at least 2013.

Funds now hold a net long position of just 547 million barrels, less than half the recent peak of 1.1 billion at the end of September, and down from a record 1.484 billion in January.

(GRAPHIC: U.S. oil drilling, production & storage – https://tmsnrt.rs/2PBfE7z)

OPEC CUTS EXPECTED

Concerned about an emerging production overhang similar to the one that led to a price slump in 2014, OPEC is pushing for a supply cut of 1 million to 1.4 million bpd.

“We expect OPEC to agree to a supply cut at its next official meeting on 6 December,” French bank BNP Paribas (PA:) said.

The bank added that it expected Brent to recover to $80 per barrel before year-end.

“In 2019, we expect WTI to average $69 per barrel and Brent $76 per barrel,” BNP said.

The International Energy Agency (IEA), which represents the interest of oil consumers, on Monday warned OPEC and other producers of the “negative implications” of supply cuts, with many analysts fearing that a spike in crude prices could erode consumption.

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