MCX Nickel likely to move in a range of 905.2-938.6
MCX Aluminium expected to trade between 133-137 levels
NCDEX Chana under long liquidation; Support seen at 4075
MCX Cotton under fresh selling; Support seen at 20420
NCDEX Jeera likely to move in a range of 15185-15655
Technically MCX Mentha Oil is getting support at 1615.9 and below same could see a test of 1602.7 level, And resistance is now likely to be seen at 1638, a move above could see prices testing 1646.9.
Mentha Oil on MCX settled up by 0.89% at 1629.1 amid improved demand from consuming industries at the domestic spot market. However, upside seen limited amid expectations of higher acreage under mint in 2019 due to lucrative prices throughout last year.
Further, lower arrivals from major producing belts of Chandausi in Uttar Pradesh limited the downside. Export demand of oil in global market is likely to be improved due to recovery in currency which is supportive for prices.
The surge in output is likely due to buoyancy in planting intentions, not only in the traditional pockets of Uttar Pradesh and Bihar in recent days, but also in Madhya Pradesh. Mentha sowing may witness a huge jump this year because of high returns farmers experienced the whole of last year.
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Production of mentha oil is expected to rise to 48,000-50,000 tn in 2019 from 33,000-35,000 tn last year. This year, sowing of the crop started towards the end of last month, a couple of weeks later than usual due to extended cold weather in all major growing regions.
Official data on mentha, with respect to sowing or production and export, is not available as trade in the commodity is tightly controlled by a few. This season, the area under mint is expected to be 250,000-265,000 ha.
Speculation that German major BASF SE has re-started deliveries of synthetic mentha oil will also be a deterrent to prices. Mentha oil spot at Sambhal closed at 1739.30 per 1kg. Spot prices was up by Rs.3.30/-.
Trading Ideas:
–Mentha Oil trading range for the day is 1602.7-1646.9.
–Mentha Oil spot at Sambhal closed at 1739.30 per 1kg. Spot prices was up by Rs.3.30/-.
–Mentha Oil prices gained amid improved demand from consuming industries at the domestic spot market.
–However, upside seen limited amid expectations of higher acreage under mint in 2019 due to lucrative prices throughout last year.
–Export demand of oil in global market is likely to be improved due to recovery in currency which is supportive for prices.
Courtesy: Kedia Commodities
Source: Commodityonline.com
