By Supunnabul Suwannakij
Nov. 25 — Natural rubber global surplus will probably increase through 2015 as production may rebound, according to Economist Intelligence Unit report published this month.
* Global surplus may reach 134,000 metric tons this year, 200,000 tons next year and 257,000 tons in 2015
* Demand is expected to rise at annual 4% in 2014 and 2015 after declines in some major consumers brought growth rate down to 1.6% this year
* Demand to total 11.6m tons in 2014; 12.1m tons in 2015
* Output will be little changed this year because of low prices; may rise 4.6% to 11.8m tons next year; 4.4% to 12.4m tons in 2015
* Consumption in China may grow 2% in 2014; ~4% in 2015
* India’s demand may shrink ~4% this year; expand 8.5% in 2014
* Thai output to grow by 6% in 2014; 5% in 2015
Source: Bloomberg